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Puzzled over Persia
Posted by thehim - January 31, 2005
On Friday in Davos,
Switzerland, Senator Joe Biden had an exchange with the Iranian Foreign Minister
that illustrated not only how tense relations are between the U.S. and Iran, but also how difficult it's
becoming for our top diplomats to do anything to stop that regime from
obtaining nuclear weapons under the status quo. From the Seattle
PI:
Biden's warning to
Foreign Minister Kamal Kharrazi
was tempered, with the U.S.
senator also urging his own government to rethink its positions.
"You
have to grow up and my administration has to grow up, with all due respect, and
find out if there is any common ground," he said. "We are on the
course of unintended consequences."
I just finished reading The
Persian Puzzle by Ken Pollack. A
history of Iranian-American relations, it gives tremendous insight into how we
got to this point. The current roadblock
in American-Iranian relations is defined mainly by the 1979 revolution that
transformed the country from being one of the few in the region to be
pro-Israel and progressive, to being a strict theocracy where conservative
hard-liners are essentially above the law in exerting their influence. The heart of that roadblock comes from the
view in Iran that America is a
"Great Satan" who is always plotting against the Iranian people. The revolution thrived upon this largely
irrational fear over American influence, and the end result was theocracy. But this type of government wasn't the
expected outcome of the revolution for some, as Pollack explained:
And
so for many Iranians, the revolution was welcomed simply because it got the
central government off their backs. One
American official tells the story that he traveled to Iran shortly
after the revolution to survey several American government facilities
throughout the country. During the
course of that trip he headed out into the Qashqa'i
tribal regions around Shiraz,
where he found that the people were ecstatic about the revolution. In talking to them, he found that their
enthusiasm for the revolution focused on two wonderful benefits: they no longer
had to pay taxes, and they could now hunt in the shah's game preserves. They knew little about Khomeini and less
about what should or could follow the shah - just as long as they did not have
to pay taxes and could hunt in the shah's game preserves.
The participants in the Iranian revolution were hardly
limited to the highly religious. As
Pollack noted, it was one of the most widely popular revolutions in world
history, with support from all segments of the population. The shah was a corrupt and physically weak
leader, his security forces were doing whatever was necessary to keep the
peace, and his support from America
was falsely seen by many in Iran
to be a sign that America
was behind it all. After the revolution,
it was not clear right away who would assume power. Eventually, the religious mullahs would prove
to carry the most weight, and former exile Ayatollah Khomeini became the leader
of the revolution and the new Iran.
"Khomeini
was the archetype of the medieval prophet emerging from the desert with a fiery
vision of absolute truth", Gary
Sick has written. "His God was a harsh and vengeful deity - full of fury,
demanding the eye and the tooth of retribution for human transgressions of
divine law. Khomeini, in more than a
decade of angry exile, had elaborated the doctrine of a utopian Islamic state
and then endowed it with a sacred inevitability. This philosophical system was as stark as it
was comprehensive. It held the answers
to all questions, and the answers were absolute and final."
The key to his ascension, though, was his unflinching
opposition to America. The United
States was the "Great Satan", and his strong opposition
to American influence among the strong anti-American sentiment, quieted all the
more pragmatic voices of the revolution and allowed Iran to become ruled by a man who
believed in velayat-e-faqih, the "rule of the
jurisprudent". In the following passage,
Pollack explains how the Iranians willingness to see Khomeini as a savior
overruled any reasoned analysis of his actual views.
Nevertheless,
Khomeini held a magnetic appeal for a great many segments of Iranian
society. The Iranian body politic has
traditionally revered piety, austerity, and consistency to a specific set of
values among its leaders, and Khomeini practiced each to an extreme. This alone made him seem virtually messianic
in his devotion to his ideals and to his religion. Khomeini also had the gift of being able to
speak to the people of Iran in their own language and in the idiom of Islam,
which they found comforting. He stressed
that Islam offered a complete guide to life; in a modern world where many
Iranians felt that they had lost their bearings, this too was reassuring. He also managed to be all things to all people:
the bazaaris saw him as the quintessential
mullah-champion of their interests.
Ignorant of most of his specific beliefs, the modern middle class
misconstrued him to be a reformer who would complete the work Mossadeq had left unfinished. The lower classes saw him as a revolutionary
who would undo all of the injustice of the old system and raise them up to be
equals with the rest of society in every way. Even many among the traditional land-owning classes saw him as a
reactionary (a good thing, as far as they were concerned) clergyman who would
re-create the old system the way it had been before the Pahlavis
had ruined things. And, of course, all
Iranians appreciated his single-minded determination to oust the shah and
extirpate the American influence from Iran.
Over
time, Khomeini would demonstrate that virtually every aspiration attributed to
him (with the exception of his personal austerity and his blind hatred for the
shah and the United States)
was untrue - but it never seemed to matter.
His reputation for piety and devotion, coupled with his fiery charisma,
left Iranians blinded to the reality.
Although he had made no secret of his intention to create a theocratic
system based on the radical concept of velayat-e-faqih,
few during or even immediately after the revolution were aware of it and most
simply assumed that the "Islamic Republic" he kept talking about was whatever
they hoped it would be. It was the best
of all possible worlds, and each individual inevitably defined that
differently. Even fifteen years after
his death, Khomeini has the same hold over many Iranians. In his book Persian Pilgrimages, Afshin Molavi tells of a cab
driver and part-time tour guide in Mashhad
who explained to him that "I supported Khomeini because he promised us a better
economic life." Of course, nothing could
have been further from the truth: in response to an aide pressing him to
concentrate more on alleviating Iran's
economic problems, Khomeini had famously retorted, "We did not make the
revolution to lower the price of watermelons." But Khomeini remains the embodiment of all good things to many Iranians
- whatever those good things may be.
Khomeini
was obsessively - even mindlessly - opposed to the United States. At times he got so carried away by his own hatred
that he said things that on their face were farcical, such as proclaiming
shortly after his return from exile that "The Great U.S. Satan has dominated our
country for the past 2,500 years."
Throughout the course of the revolution and thereafter, Iranian
moderates among the leftist, the liberals, and even the clergy were willing to
accept a new relationship with the United States. Khomeini simply refused and blocked every
effort at reconciliation. Khomeini
redefined the goal of the revolution as the total cleansing of American
influence from Iran, including America's puppet, the shah. Consequently, the success of the revolution
was predicated upon the hardest possible line toward the United States,
and anyone suggesting moderation was by definition betraying the
revolution. Although at times Khomeini
referred to the shah as "Yazid," the caliph who had
had Husayn martyred at Karbala
back in the seventh century, more often it was Jimmy Carter he called Yazid, while the shah was merely "Shimr"
- the general who had actually struck the blows against Husayn
and his companions. The Imam's constant
theme about the United States
was that (echoing Mosaddeq about the British), "All
our problems come from America."
The story of the Iranian revolution was interesting to me in
that I see the clear parallels to America's current conservative
"revolution". It has taken root among
people of all classes who feel they will benefit economically from "getting the
government off their backs". Ironically
though, this belief also allied them with religious extremists bent of greater
government power over morality in order to obtain it. Many economic conservatives who supported
Bush in this last election don't share any ideology with people like Jerry Falwell and James Dobson, they just naively believe that
lower taxes and a greater trust in "market forces" are the keys to
"freedom."
I realize that America would never go so far as Iran down
the path of theocratic rule before rejecting it (hell, even chess was illegal
there), but any shift away from constitutional freedoms in this country should
be worrisome for any of us who appreciate the liberty we have. Not to mention the growing belief among
Americans that Moslems should be
treated as second class citizens. As
we saw in Iran,
it can be a quick transition to a repressive society if there's a common enemy
that everyone feels threatened by. In
the case of Iran,
the mullahs gained and sustained their power by being the ones most fervently
opposed to the Americans. In our current
conservative revolution, even as we talk about fighting a war on actual
terrorists, the real enemy of the right has become "liberals", the nebulous term
that means a lot of things to a lot of different people, but seems to
encompasses the ACLU, Hollywood, the homeless, college professors and pretty
much anyone else that questions the President. The fear among the right over the power and influence of "liberals" is
as irrational as the Iranians' view of America as the "Great Satan". Yet it managed to win George W. Bush a second
term, because in wartime, the "liberals" are the enemy and can't be
trusted.
The problem that American progressives have in curtailing
the influence of these modern-day phony conservatives is similar to the problem
that America has in dealing
with Iran. How do you deal with a group of people who
have an irrational fear that you're their enemy?
The natural tendency is to become more extreme, but this is
a mistake. I see far too many people who
believe that the answer for progressives in America is to completely disengage
with Republicans and to just assume they are out to get us with everything they
do. This is counterproductive, just as
it is in dealing with Iran. Pollack defended the decisions made by the
Clinton Administration in their relations with Iran throughout the 90s. Even though the reform movement at that time
didn't end the mullah's reign, Iran
was moving in the right direction and was closer to throwing out the theocratic
regime than at any other time in its short history. That happened in part because those in the
Iranian government who advocated more relations with the west found honest
brokers in the Clinton Administration to deal with. In turn, they gained more influence at home
among a younger population disillusioned with an overly strict regime. It's difficult for progressives in the Democratic
Party to have to engage with people that are convinced that gay marriage will
destroy our society, but unfortunately, many people that crazy are now
affecting policy here, and progressives have to create the divide that will
eventually isolate these people within their own party.
If there's any nitpick I have with the book, it's that
Pollack neglected to mention a very important side-effect the War in Iraq had for Iran. He explained the somewhat forgotten fact that
the Iranian regime was happy to see us take out Saddam, and the government in Tehran so far has
refrained from doing anything to disrupt our plans (we did a good enough job of
that on our own). Pollack also noted
that with our hands full in Iraq,
the Iranians had more leeway to accept toothless deals from the Europeans that
had no effect on their ability to build nuclear weapons. But what he didn't mention was how useful it
was for the Iranian government (whose state media referred to the Iraq War as
the "War for Oil") to perpetuate the notion of America as an evil imperialist
entity. By conducting the War in Iraq in the way we did, we gave the mullahs
great ammunition for perpetuating the stereotype of America as the "Great Satan". And that, as much as anything else, hurts our
ability to effect real change there today.
Now Senator Biden sounds like he's
caught in the middle of his own unsolvable Persian Puzzle. Pollack explains at the end of the book that
our options in Iran
aren't great. It's hard to put pressure
on them without the Europeans and the Japanese never being fully on board, and
we can't leave them alone, or they'll just do whatever they want. War is clearly not a feasible option, but
ignoring them isn't the answer either.
The only way to continue is to use the carrot and stick approach, reward
them for good behavior, threaten them with sanctions for bad behavior. Pollack concedes that they'll probably still
end up with nukes, but it's better than making anti-American sentiment more
powerful through bombing raids or an invasion. The Bush Administration seems to be straddling the two extremes. They occasionally hint at war, but end up
doing nothing. Diplomacy for them is
sadly not an option.
The lesson in all of this is a lesson that the folks who
expected a cakewalk in Iraq
will never understand, and one that progressives in this country should take to
heart. You can't be a liar and expect
others to be honest. You can't be
irrational and expect others to be rational.
You can't be aggressive and expect others to be passive. You can't disengage and expect others to be
proactive. A nuclear Iran is likely
to become a reality soon. What they
decide to do with that power still very much rests within American hands. Unfortunately, we now have to influence our
own irrational liars as well as theirs.